SYNERGY ASSUMPTIONS — DETAILED IN APPENDIX C · NPV @ 9.5%: €178M
SYNERGY BRIDGEp. 08 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRASENSITIVITYp. 09 / 24
SENSITIVITY · EPS ACCRETION %
Accretive across all realistic scenarios.
COST SYNERGIES REALIZED →
EV / EBITDA
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
7.5×
+4.2%
+5.8%
+7.4%
+8.9%
+10.4%
BASE CASE
+7.4%
EPS accretion in Year 1, assuming 8.0× multiple and 80% synergy realization. Breakeven at 6.7× and 45% realization.
SENSITIVITY GRIDp. 09 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAPROCESS TIMELINEp. 10 / 24
PROCESS TIMELINE · DEC '26 → MAR '27
Signing within fourteen weeks.
PROCESS TIMELINEp. 10 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRABIDDER LISTp. 11 / 24
BIDDER LIST · LIKELY BUYERS
Nine likely buyers, ranked by fit.
Maersk DK
Strategic · scale fit
9 / 10
HIGH
BIDDER LIST · 9 OF 12p. 11 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRARISK MATRIXp. 12 / 24
RISK MATRIX · LIKELIHOOD × IMPACT
Six risks plotted; two require active mitigation.
R1Antitrust block in GermanyHigh likelihood, severe impact. Active mitigation in §App. B.
RISK MATRIXp. 12 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRADILIGENCEp. 13 / 24
DILIGENCE WORKSTREAMS · WEEK 6 OF 12
Six workstreams, on schedule.
WS-01Financial & taxQoE review, tax exposure, working-capital cleanupKPMG · M. Reuter12 of 14 tasksGREEN
DILIGENCE WORKSTREAMSp. 13 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRADCF SUMMARYp. 14 / 24
DCF SUMMARY · 5-YEAR + TERMINAL · €M
€460M enterprise value · midpoint.
ASSUMPTIONS
WACC9.5%
TERMINAL G2.0%
EXIT MULTIPLE8.0×
EV MIDPOINT€460M
DCF SUMMARYp. 14 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRATRADING COMPSp. 15 / 24
PUBLIC TRADING COMPS · €M, AS OF YESTERDAY
Target trades at a 1.4× discount to median peer.
COMPANY
TICKER
MKT CAP
EV / EBITDA
EV / SALES
REV GR. '26
FCF YIELD
Northwind (target)
NWL.DE
313
6.1×
0.8×
+4.2%
7.4%
SOURCE · BLOOMBERG, AS OF 21 NOV 2026 · MEDIAN: 7.5× · MEAN: 7.8×p. 15 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAACCRETIONp. 16 / 24
ACCRETION · YEAR-1 EPS BRIDGE · €
+7.4% EPS accretive in year one.
ACCRETION · YEAR-1p. 16 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAMANAGEMENTp. 17 / 24
TARGET MANAGEMENT · KEY EXECUTIVES
Four executives, all proposed to stay.
1 : 1
Hannah Reuter
CEO · since 2019
Ex-DHL operations director, EMEA. MBA INSEAD '08.
MANAGEMENT BIOSp. 17 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRADEAL TEAMp. 18 / 24
MERIDIAN ADVISORY · DEAL TEAM
Four bankers, dedicated to Project Astra.
1 : 1
Marit Kovaleva
PARTNER · LEAD
22 years on the desk · 47 M&A advisory mandates · €18B total deal value
DEAL TEAMp. 18 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAREGULATORYp. 19 / 24
REGULATORY APPROVALS · FILING TRACKER
Five jurisdictions, two on critical path.
🇩🇪Germany · BKartAPhase I review, market overlap in northern lanesFreshfields · J. BeckerExpected: Feb '27AMBER
REGULATORY APPROVALSp. 19 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRACOMBINED ENTITYp. 20 / 24
COMBINED ENTITY · PRO FORMA
Atlas + Northwind = #2 carrier by lane volume.
REVENUE€1.4B+€420M from target · +43%
COMBINED ENTITYp. 20 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAGEOGRAPHYp. 21 / 24
GEOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINT · LANE COVERAGE
Complementary lane networks, minimal overlap.
Atlas (acquirer) · western Europe
Northwind (target) · eastern Europe
Overlap (3 lanes, 4% revenue)
GEOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINTp. 21 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRAANTICIPATED Q&Ap. 22 / 24
ANTICIPATED BOARD QUESTIONS
Four questions we expect on Wednesday.
Q · 01Why now, and not next year?Two of the four likely strategic bidders begin their own integration cycles in H2 '27. The window for a clean process is 12 weeks, then closes.
ANTICIPATED Q&Ap. 22 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRARECOMMENDATIONp. 23 / 24
RECOMMENDATION
Proceed to signingat €82 per share.
01EPS accretive 7.4% in Y1, 10.2% by Y3 at base assumptions.
THE ASK · BOARD APPROVAL
Authorize the bid by Friday.
Approve €420M maximum cash consideration, retention of management, and a 12-week exclusive negotiation window with the target board.
RECOMMENDATIONp. 23 / 24
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PROJECT ASTRADISCLAIMERp. 24 / 24
DISCLAIMER & CONTACT
Important notices.
This document has been prepared by Meridian Advisory exclusively for the Board of Directors of Atlas Industrial Group. It contains material non-public information and is strictly confidential. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to any other party. Financial projections are forward-looking, based on assumptions disclosed in §IV — actual results may differ materially. Recipients should consult their own legal, tax, and financial advisers before acting on any information contained herein.
PREPARED BYMeridian AdvisoryM&A practice · Munich office